If current trends continue, the population in 75 of the 104 regional county municipalities (RCMs) will be higher in 2036 than in 2011, whereas in the other 29 it will have declined. All RCMs of the administrative regions of Lanaudière, Laurentides, Montérégie, Centre-du-Québec, as well as Montréal and Laval are expected to have larger populations in 2036 than in 2011. As for the other regions, there will be a combination of growing RCMs and declining RCMs.
Over the next 25 years, population aging in Québec will be reflected in RCMs in a contrasted manner. While in 2011, only two RCMs had a share of seniors which was 25% or over, no less than 83 RCMs will have crossed this threshold by 2036. Population projections for RCMs cover the period from 2011 to 2036 and only include one scenario, namely scenario A - Reference, which combines the most plausible assumptions in view of recent trends.
- Perspectives démographiques des MRC du Québec, 2011-2036 (in French only)
- Release date: October 1, 2014