Statistical Table

Population projections, by age group and sex, Bas-Saint-Laurent and all of Québec, scenario A¹, 2011, 2016, 2021, 2026, 2031 and 2036

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2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036

n

Bas-Saint-Laurent
All ages 201,184 200,884 201,024 200,982 199,820 197,565
  Males 100,106 100,314 100,630 100,763 100,236 99,104
  Females 101,078 100,570 100,394 100,219 99,584 98,461
0-4 years old 9,517 9,224 8,976 8,516 7,760 7,413
  Males 4,975 4,746 4,595 4,359 3,972 3,795
  Females 4,542 4,478 4,381 4,157 3,788 3,619
5-9 years old 8,706 9,702 9,517 9,326 8,904 8,158
  Males 4,480 5,057 4,888 4,769 4,553 4,171
  Females 4,226 4,644 4,629 4,557 4,351 3,987
10-14 years old 9,100 8,776 9,819 9,668 9,515 9,121
  Males 4,672 4,493 5,128 4,983 4,885 4,683
  Females 4,428 4,284 4,692 4,685 4,631 4,438
15-19 years old 11,455 9,034 8,675 9,741 9,621 9,514
  Males 5,785 4,667 4,459 5,096 4,977 4,905
  Females 5,670 4,367 4,216 4,645 4,644 4,610
20-24 years old 11,250 10,631 8,356 8,075 9,113 9,061
  Males 5,797 5,439 4,376 4,203 4,803 4,739
  Females 5,453 5,192 3,980 3,872 4,310 4,322
25-29 years old 10,526 10,263 10,007 8,008 7,769 8,818
  Males 5,438 5,287 5,092 4,163 4,022 4,606
  Females 5,088 4,976 4,916 3,846 3,748 4,212
30-34 years old 11,791 10,622 10,454 10,255 8,331 8,115
  Males 6,182 5,431 5,341 5,178 4,295 4,170
  Females 5,609 5,191 5,113 5,077 4,037 3,944
35-39 years old 10,636 12,010 10,959 10,851 10,683 8,772
  Males 5,438 6,286 5,619 5,556 5,412 4,541
  Females 5,198 5,724 5,339 5,294 5,271 4,232
40-44 years old 10,997 10,825 12,079 11,114 11,051 10,902
  Males 5,595 5,489 6,289 5,685 5,642 5,509
  Females 5,402 5,335 5,789 5,430 5,409 5,392
45-49 years old 15,228 10,991 10,880 12,163 11,266 11,233
  Males 7,546 5,628 5,521 6,326 5,769 5,739
  Females 7,682 5,363 5,360 5,837 5,498 5,494
50-54 years old 18,406 15,273 11,190 11,086 12,413 11,570
  Males 9,202 7,543 5,713 5,618 6,439 5,916
  Females 9,204 7,729 5,477 5,468 5,974 5,653
55-59 years old 17,954 18,393 15,524 11,522 11,429 12,820
  Males 9,126 9,151 7,643 5,850 5,769 6,615
  Females 8,828 9,243 7,881 5,672 5,660 6,205
60-64 years old 16,224 17,877 18,420 15,731 11,829 11,761
  Males 8,243 9,126 9,169 7,770 6,019 5,958
  Females 7,981 8,751 9,251 7,961 5,810 5,802
65-69 years old 12,413 15,595 17,438 18,107 15,625 11,883
  Males 6,232 7,867 8,878 9,015 7,741 6,064
  Females 6,181 7,728 8,560 9,092 7,884 5,819
70-74 years old 8,854 11,635 14,737 16,578 17,348 15,106
  Males2 4,308 5,775 7,370 8,384 8,602 7,473
  Females 4,546 5,859 7,367 8,194 8,746 7,633
75-79 years old 6,931 7,921 10,526 13,445 15,256 16,114
  Males 3,109 3,777 5,105 6,595 7,587 7,877
  Females 3,822 4,144 5,422 6,850 7,669 8,237
80-84 years old 5,882 5,671 6,591 8,918 11,536 13,257
  Males 2,357 2,401 3,012 4,171 5,487 6,415
  Females 3,525 3,270 3,579 4,747 6,049 6,842
85-89 years old 3,586 4,019 4,020 4,814 6,683 8,803
  Males 1,181 1,492 1,580 2,066 2,959 3,992
  Females 2,405 2,528 2,440 2,748 3,724 4,811
90 and over 1,728 2,421 2,855 3,065 3,687 5,145
  Males 440 658 853 978 1,305 1,936
  Females 1,288 1,763 2,003 2,087 2,382 3,209
  

2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036

n

All of Québec
All ages 8,007,656 8,357,630 8,677,760 8,967,165 9,205,587 9,394,684
  Males 3,973,044 4,157,515 4,325,957 4,476,972 4,600,407 4,697,744
  Females 4,034,612 4,200,116 4,351,803 4,490,192 4,605,180 4,696,941
0-4 years old 436,844 452,887 471,223 473,123 452,377 440,188
  Males 222,849 232,029 241,324 242,298 231,656 225,404
  Females 213,995 220,858 229,898 230,826 220,721 214,785
5-9 years old 389,951 453,395 469,206 487,401 489,341 468,782
  Males 199,113 231,254 240,279 249,505 250,500 239,953
  Females 190,838 222,142 228,927 237,897 238,842 228,828
10-14 years old 406,630 401,500 465,327 480,905 499,017 500,992
  Males 208,231 205,041 237,418 246,317 255,502 256,515
  Females 198,399 196,459 227,910 234,588 243,516 244,477
15-19 years old 495,719 422,459 417,981 481,400 496,921 514,994
  Males 249,554 216,294 213,340 245,511 254,381 263,548
  Females 246,165 206,165 204,641 235,889 242,541 251,445
20-24 years old 520,465 530,134 456,570 451,777 514,882 530,392
  Males 264,188 267,085 234,143 231,066 263,093 271,963
  Females 256,277 263,049 222,427 220,711 251,790 258,428
25-29 years old 526,792 547,462 549,268 475,006 470,435 533,023
  Males 268,369 276,604 275,539 242,149 239,218 271,001
  Females 258,423 270,858 273,729 232,858 231,217 262,022
30-34 years old 563,546 562,824 577,075 577,815 504,574 500,186
  Males 287,221 286,527 290,975 289,294 256,411 253,606
  Females 276,325 276,296 286,100 288,520 248,163 246,580
35-39 years old 518,768 591,029 587,422 600,839 601,834 529,433
  Males 264,896 301,467 299,465 303,447 301,944 269,507
  Females 253,872 289,562 287,958 297,392 299,890 259,926
40-44 years old 531,839 532,403 602,655 598,678 612,225 613,496
  Males 271,364 271,862 307,481 305,263 309,364 308,049
  Females 260,475 260,542 295,174 293,415 302,861 305,447
45-49 years old 628,048 535,989 535,116 604,599 600,962 614,730
  Males 318,662 273,223 273,060 308,254 306,255 310,521
  Females 309,386 262,766 262,056 296,345 294,707 304,209
50-54 years old 649,027 624,427 533,160 532,617 601,806 598,641
  Males 326,911 316,145 271,308 271,353 306,417 304,709
  Females 322,116 308,282 261,852 261,264 295,389 293,932
55-59 years old 575,766 638,119 615,166 526,256 526,504 595,365
  Males 289,968 320,369 310,481 267,034 267,576 302,494
  Females 285,798 317,750 304,685 259,222 258,929 292,871
60-64 years old 508,159 560,354 622,319 601,369 515,787 517,087
  Males 252,908 280,431 310,731 302,075 260,609 261,807
  Females 255,251 279,923 311,588 299,294 255,178 255,280
65-69 years old 403,959 486,091 538,518 600,283 582,045 500,927
  Males 195,920 239,247 267,122 297,482 290,482 251,666
  Females 208,039 246,845 271,396 302,801 291,563 249,261
70-74 years old 292,057 375,867 455,372 507,852 569,119 554,406
  Males2 136,342 179,208 220,960 248,948 279,218 274,318
  Females 155,715 196,659 234,411 258,904 289,901 280,087
75-79 years old 230,887 259,527 337,655 413,026 465,017 525,061
  Males 101,391 117,722 157,413 196,723 224,441 254,215
  Females 129,496 141,805 180,242 216,302 240,576 270,846
80-84 years old 176,039 188,304 216,194 286,082 354,719 404,869
  Males 69,363 78,778 94,358 129,187 164,445 190,943
  Females 106,676 109,525 121,836 156,895 190,274 213,926
85-89 years old 103,184 123,147 135,354 160,037 216,721 273,730
  Males 34,050 44,780 52,932 65,978 93,171 121,504
  Females 69,134 78,366 82,422 94,059 123,551 152,226
90 and over 49,976 71,711 92,177 108,100 131,299 178,382
  Males 11,744 19,449 27,628 35,089 45,726 66,021
  Females 38,232 52,262 64,549 73,011 85,574 112,362
  

1. Reference scenario A comprises the hypotheses the most plausible given recent trends.
2. Corrected data June 21, 2016.
  
Source: Institut de la statistique du Québec, Direction des statistiques sociodémographiques, Perspectives démographiques du Québec et des régions, 2011-2061.
 
September 9, 2014
 

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