Statistical Table

Population projections, by age group and sex, Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean and all of Québec, scenario A¹, 2011, 2016, 2021, 2026, 2031 and 2036

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2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036

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Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean
All ages 277,249 278,825 280,078 280,383 278,831 275,985
  Males 139,154 140,372 141,308 141,776 141,251 139,976
  Females 138,095 138,453 138,769 138,607 137,580 136,009
0-4 years old 13,780 13,869 13,658 12,889 11,676 11,217
  Males 6,992 7,158 7,004 6,609 5,987 5,751
  Females 6,788 6,712 6,653 6,280 5,690 5,466
5-9 years old 12,657 14,135 14,170 14,019 13,306 12,117
  Males 6,343 7,140 7,310 7,191 6,825 6,213
  Females 6,314 6,995 6,860 6,828 6,482 5,904
10-14 years old 13,238 12,581 14,199 14,259 14,148 13,478
  Males 6,777 6,313 7,169 7,344 7,248 6,905
  Females 6,461 6,268 7,030 6,915 6,899 6,573
15-19 years old 16,999 13,173 12,513 14,146 14,236 14,167
  Males 8,579 6,800 6,312 7,175 7,354 7,283
  Females 8,420 6,373 6,201 6,970 6,882 6,884
20-24 years old 16,827 15,882 12,392 11,870 13,459 13,599
  Males 8,839 8,078 6,459 6,074 6,912 7,086
  Females 7,988 7,805 5,933 5,796 6,547 6,513
25-29 years old 16,519 15,981 15,447 12,278 11,836 13,464
  Males 8,650 8,294 7,826 6,363 6,047 6,900
  Females 7,869 7,687 7,622 5,915 5,789 6,563
30-34 years old 17,744 17,151 16,386 15,955 12,870 12,470
  Males 9,389 8,985 8,474 8,086 6,668 6,384
  Females 8,355 8,166 7,912 7,869 6,202 6,086
35-39 years old 15,010 18,043 17,337 16,701 16,316 13,287
  Males 7,766 9,532 9,116 8,681 8,331 6,937
  Females 7,244 8,510 8,221 8,020 7,985 6,350
40-44 years old 14,941 15,131 17,969 17,316 16,764 16,417
  Males 7,681 7,939 9,496 9,116 8,732 8,410
  Females 7,260 7,192 8,474 8,200 8,032 8,007
45-49 years old 21,787 14,957 15,126 17,935 17,324 16,830
  Males 11,016 7,672 7,937 9,474 9,122 8,772
  Females 10,771 7,285 7,190 8,462 8,202 8,059
50-54 years old 26,051 21,661 14,991 15,158 17,953 17,377
  Males 13,209 10,960 7,694 7,952 9,479 9,151
  Females 12,842 10,701 7,297 7,206 8,474 8,226
55-59 years old 23,591 25,392 21,527 15,060 15,236 18,029
  Males 12,319 12,846 10,893 7,730 7,991 9,515
  Females 11,272 12,546 10,634 7,329 7,246 8,514
60-64 years old 19,960 22,953 24,788 21,158 14,960 15,163
  Males 10,260 11,929 12,519 10,697 7,676 7,947
  Females 9,700 11,025 12,269 10,461 7,284 7,216
65-69 years old 15,653 19,029 22,001 23,878 20,527 14,659
  Males 7,720 9,720 11,350 11,993 10,336 7,500
  Females 7,933 9,309 10,651 11,885 10,192 7,159
70-74 years old 11,376 14,486 17,771 20,676 22,581 19,554
  Males2 5,321 7,027 8,946 10,539 11,227 9,761
  Females 6,055 7,459 8,825 10,138 11,353 9,792
75-79 years old 9,182 10,024 12,981 16,077 18,876 20,781
  Males 4,022 4,562 6,157 7,942 9,471 10,192
  Females 5,160 5,462 6,824 8,135 9,405 10,590
80-84 years old 6,783 7,365 8,297 10,938 13,730 16,341
  Males 2,637 3,069 3,631 5,023 6,597 8,006
  Females 4,146 4,296 4,666 5,916 7,133 8,334
85-89 years old 3,648 4,645 5,214 6,053 8,178 10,455
  Males 1,265 1,665 2,027 2,500 3,573 4,807
  Females 2,383 2,980 3,187 3,553 4,605 5,648
90 and over 1,503 2,367 3,310 4,016 4,856 6,580
  Males 369 684 989 1,287 1,678 2,454
  Females 1,134 1,682 2,321 2,729 3,178 4,126
  

2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036

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All of Québec
All ages 8,007,656 8,357,630 8,677,760 8,967,165 9,205,587 9,394,684
  Males 3,973,044 4,157,515 4,325,957 4,476,972 4,600,407 4,697,744
  Females 4,034,612 4,200,116 4,351,803 4,490,192 4,605,180 4,696,941
0-4 years old 436,844 452,887 471,223 473,123 452,377 440,188
  Males 222,849 232,029 241,324 242,298 231,656 225,404
  Females 213,995 220,858 229,898 230,826 220,721 214,785
5-9 years old 389,951 453,395 469,206 487,401 489,341 468,782
  Males 199,113 231,254 240,279 249,505 250,500 239,953
  Females 190,838 222,142 228,927 237,897 238,842 228,828
10-14 years old 406,630 401,500 465,327 480,905 499,017 500,992
  Males 208,231 205,041 237,418 246,317 255,502 256,515
  Females 198,399 196,459 227,910 234,588 243,516 244,477
15-19 years old 495,719 422,459 417,981 481,400 496,921 514,994
  Males 249,554 216,294 213,340 245,511 254,381 263,548
  Females 246,165 206,165 204,641 235,889 242,541 251,445
20-24 years old 520,465 530,134 456,570 451,777 514,882 530,392
  Males 264,188 267,085 234,143 231,066 263,093 271,963
  Females 256,277 263,049 222,427 220,711 251,790 258,428
25-29 years old 526,792 547,462 549,268 475,006 470,435 533,023
  Males 268,369 276,604 275,539 242,149 239,218 271,001
  Females 258,423 270,858 273,729 232,858 231,217 262,022
30-34 years old 563,546 562,824 577,075 577,815 504,574 500,186
  Males 287,221 286,527 290,975 289,294 256,411 253,606
  Females 276,325 276,296 286,100 288,520 248,163 246,580
35-39 years old 518,768 591,029 587,422 600,839 601,834 529,433
  Males 264,896 301,467 299,465 303,447 301,944 269,507
  Females 253,872 289,562 287,958 297,392 299,890 259,926
40-44 years old 531,839 532,403 602,655 598,678 612,225 613,496
  Males 271,364 271,862 307,481 305,263 309,364 308,049
  Females 260,475 260,542 295,174 293,415 302,861 305,447
45-49 years old 628,048 535,989 535,116 604,599 600,962 614,730
  Males 318,662 273,223 273,060 308,254 306,255 310,521
  Females 309,386 262,766 262,056 296,345 294,707 304,209
50-54 years old 649,027 624,427 533,160 532,617 601,806 598,641
  Males 326,911 316,145 271,308 271,353 306,417 304,709
  Females 322,116 308,282 261,852 261,264 295,389 293,932
55-59 years old 575,766 638,119 615,166 526,256 526,504 595,365
  Males 289,968 320,369 310,481 267,034 267,576 302,494
  Females 285,798 317,750 304,685 259,222 258,929 292,871
60-64 years old 508,159 560,354 622,319 601,369 515,787 517,087
  Males 252,908 280,431 310,731 302,075 260,609 261,807
  Females 255,251 279,923 311,588 299,294 255,178 255,280
65-69 years old 403,959 486,091 538,518 600,283 582,045 500,927
  Males 195,920 239,247 267,122 297,482 290,482 251,666
  Females 208,039 246,845 271,396 302,801 291,563 249,261
70-74 years old 292,057 375,867 455,372 507,852 569,119 554,406
  Males2 136,342 179,208 220,960 248,948 279,218 274,318
  Females 155,715 196,659 234,411 258,904 289,901 280,087
75-79 years old 230,887 259,527 337,655 413,026 465,017 525,061
  Males 101,391 117,722 157,413 196,723 224,441 254,215
  Females 129,496 141,805 180,242 216,302 240,576 270,846
80-84 years old 176,039 188,304 216,194 286,082 354,719 404,869
  Males 69,363 78,778 94,358 129,187 164,445 190,943
  Females 106,676 109,525 121,836 156,895 190,274 213,926
85-89 years old 103,184 123,147 135,354 160,037 216,721 273,730
  Males 34,050 44,780 52,932 65,978 93,171 121,504
  Females 69,134 78,366 82,422 94,059 123,551 152,226
90 and over 49,976 71,711 92,177 108,100 131,299 178,382
  Males 11,744 19,449 27,628 35,089 45,726 66,021
  Females 38,232 52,262 64,549 73,011 85,574 112,362
  

1. Reference scenario A comprises the hypotheses the most plausible given recent trends.
2. Corrected data June 21, 2016.
  
Source: Institut de la statistique du Québec, Direction des statistiques sociodémographiques, Perspectives démographiques du Québec et des régions, 2011-2061.
 
September 9, 2014
 

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